A three-dimensional (3D) mass evacuation simulation using precise kinematic digital human (KDH) models and an experimental study are discussed. The flooding associated with the large tsunami caused by the Great East Japan Earthquake on Mar. 11, 2011, was responsible for more than 90% of the disaster casualties. Unfortunately, it is expected that other huge tsunamis could occur in Japan coastal areas if an earthquake with magnitude greater than eight occurs along the Nankai Trough. Therefore, recent disaster prevention plans should include evacuation to higher buildings, elevated ground, and constructed tsunami evacuation towers. In this study, evacuation simulations with 500 KDHs were conducted. The simulations consisted of several subgroups of KDHs. It is shown that the possible evacuation path of each group should be carefully determined to minimize the evacuation time. Several properties such as evacuee motion characteristics of KDHs, number of evacuees, exit gates, and number of injured persons were carefully considered in the simulations. Evacuee motion was also experimentally investigated by using a multistoried building to replicate the structure of an actual tsunami evacuation tower that could accommodate approximately 120 evacuees. The experimental results suggest that an appropriately divided group population could effectively reduce the overall group evacuation time. The results also suggest that fatigue due to walking during evacuation adversely affects the total evacuation time, especially in the ascent of stairways. The experimental data can be used to obtain more accurate simulations of mass evacuation.

References

1.
Cabinet Office
,
2015
, “
Disaster Management
,” Cabinet Office, Government of Japan, Tokyo, Japan, accesssed Jan. 16, 2015, http://www.cao.go.jp/en/disaster.html (in Japanese).
2.
UNESCO
,
2009
, “
Exercise Indian Ocean Wave 2009: An Indian Ocean-Wide Tsunami Warning and Communication Exercise
,” Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission Technical Series No. 88, UNESCO, London, UK, accessed May 13, 2017, http://www.jodc.go.jp/jodcweb/info/ioc_doc/Technical/183996e.pdf
3.
Fraser
,
S.
,
Leonard
,
G. S.
,
Matsuo
,
I.
, and
Murakami
,
H.
,
2012
, “
Tsunami Evacuation: Lessons From the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami of March 11th 2011
,” GNS Science Report 2012/17. GNS Science, Lower Hutt, New Zealand, p.
89
.http://crew.org/sites/default/files/SR%202012-017.pdf
4.
Kiyono
,
J.
,
Miura
,
F.
, and
Takimoto
,
K.
,
1996
, “
Applying DEM to Simulation of Evacuation in Emergency
,”
JSCE
,
537
(
I–35
), pp.
233
244
(in Japanese).
5.
Mazda
,
T.
,
Otsuka
,
H.
,
Chishaki
,
T.
, and
Uchida
,
H.
,
1999
, “
A Study on Simulation of Evacuation at Underground Shopping Street Using Cellular Automata
,”
ISSS
,
2
, pp.
95
100
(in Japanese).
6.
Morishita
,
S.
, and
Nakatsuka
,
N.
,
2002
, “
Simulation of Emergency Evacuation by Cellular Automata
,”
JSME Dyn. Des. Conf.
,
2–9
, p.
308
(in Japanese).
7.
Fujioka
,
M.
,
Ishibashi
,
K.
,
Kaji
,
H.
, and
Tsukagoshi
,
I.
,
2002
, “
Assessment for Estimated Evacuee Behavior Using Multi-Agent Based Simulation Model
,”
ISSS J.
,
4
, pp.
57
63
(in Japanese).
8.
Miura
,
R.
,
Kaneko
,
Y.
, and
Abe
,
S.
,
2007
, “
Event Simulation of Stairs Walk in Evacuation
,”
IEE Japan Conference
, p. 318 (in Japanese).
9.
Hasihimoto
,
K.
,
Omachi
,
T.
,
Inoue
,
S.
, and
Urii
,
J.
,
2006
, “
Behavioral Characteristics of Group Evacuation Learned From Evacuation Drill and Its Simulation
,”
JAEE 12th Symposium
, pp.
1390
1393
(in Japanese).
10.
Urii
,
J.
,
Kakizaki
,
T.
, and
Endo
,
M.
,
2010
, “
A 3-Dimensional Accurate Simulation Method for Mass Evacuation Using Precise Human Joint Model. (Application to a Mass Evacuation Drill by High-School Students)
,”
J. JSME
,
76
(
769
), pp.
2176
2185
(in Japanese).
11.
Kakizaki
,
T.
,
Urii
,
J.
, and
Endo
,
M.
,
2012
, “
A Three-Dimensional Evacuation Simulation Using Digital Human Models With Precise Kinematic Joints
,”
ASME J. Comput. Inf. Sci. Eng.
,
12
(
3
), pp.
93
102
.
12.
Murray
,
M. P.
,
Drought
,
A. B.
, and
Kory
,
R. C.
,
1964
, “
Walking Patterns of Normal Man
,”
J. Bone Jt. Surg.
,
46-A
, pp.
335
360
.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/14129683
13.
Finley
,
F. R.
, and
Cody
,
K. A.
,
1970
, “
Locomotive Characteristics of Urban Pedestrians
,”
Arch. Phys. Med. Rehabil.
,
51
(
7
), pp.
423
426
.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/5433607
14.
Sato
,
H.
, and
Ishizu
,
K.
,
1990
, “
Gait Patterns of Japanese Pedestrians
,”
J. Hum. Ergol.
,
19
(
1
), pp.
13
22
.https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2092067
15.
Bobbert
,
A. C.
,
1960
, “
Energy Expenditure in Level and Grade Walking
,”
J. Appl. Physiol.
,
15
(
6
), pp.
1015
1021
.http://jap.physiology.org/content/15/6/1015
16.
Margaria
,
R.
,
Cerretelli1
,
P.
,
Aghemo
,
P.
, and
Sassi
,
G.
,
1963
, “
Energy Cost of Running
,”
J. Appl. Physiol.
,
18
(
2
), pp.
367
370
.http://jap.physiology.org/content/18/2/367.short
17.
Goto
,
Y.
,
Honma
,
S.
,
Matsushita
,
K.
,
Okamoto
,
T.
, and
Tsujino
,
A.
,
1980
, “
Electromyographic Study on Grade Walking
,”
Ann. Phys. Educ.
,
15
, pp.
67
76
.
18.
Takahashi
,
H.
,
1984
, “
Study of the Time Factor During One Cycle of the Gait on the Slope
,”
J. Okayama Med. Assoc.
,
96
(
1–2
), pp.
181
188
.
19.
Kakizaki
,
T.
,
Urii
,
J.
, and
Endo
,
M.
,
2014
, “
Post-Tsunami Evacuation Simulation Using 3D Kinematic Digital Human Models and Experimental Verification
,”
ASME J. Comput. Inf. Sci. Eng.
,
14
(
2
), p.
021010
.
20.
Ito
,
M.
,
Inomo
,
H.
, and
Shiraki
,
W.
,
2009
, “
Leadership for Evacuation for a Large-Sized Public Park in an Emergency Using Computer Evacuation Simulation System
,”
J. Jpn. Soc. Civil Eng.
,
4
, pp.
38
44
(in Japanese).
21.
Kiyomiya
,
S.
,
2012
, “
Design Guidelines on Tsunami Evacuation Facilities of the Harbor
,” Working Group Report, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport Port Authority, Government of Japan, Tokyo, Japan, accessed May 19, 2017, http://www.mlit.go.jp/common/001016931.pdf (in Japanese).
22.
Lambert
,
J. H.
,
Parlak
,
A. I.
,
Zhou
,
Q.
,
Miller
,
J. S.
,
Fontaine
,
M. D.
,
Guterbock
,
T. M.
,
Clements
,
J. L.
, and
Thekdi
,
S. A.
,
2013
, “
Understanding and Managing Disaster Evacuation on a Transportation Network
,”
Accid. Anal. Prev.
,
50
(
1
), pp.
645
659
.
You do not currently have access to this content.